Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.060501 0.065461 0.070472 0.075906 0.081626 0.087461 0.093854
2025-02-09 0.053846 0.061259 0.069001 0.077663 0.087055 0.096904 0.107986
2025-02-16 0.049724 0.059118 0.069216 0.080812 0.093697 0.107515 0.123389
2025-02-23 0.042832 0.053262 0.064801 0.078398 0.093866 0.110805 0.130643
2025-03-02 0.038100 0.049380 0.062192 0.077639 0.095577 0.115577 0.139384
2025-03-09 0.034271 0.046196 0.060078 0.077172 0.097392 0.120298 0.147956
2025-03-16 0.032555 0.045359 0.060573 0.079631 0.102514 0.128769 0.160826
2025-03-23 0.030525 0.043952 0.060232 0.080968 0.106223 0.135549 0.171730
2025-03-30 0.028569 0.042477 0.059673 0.081926 0.109393 0.141645 0.181820
2025-04-06 0.026292 0.040421 0.058245 0.081686 0.111011 0.145826 0.189607
2025-04-13 0.025149 0.039769 0.058525 0.083522 0.115135 0.153003 0.200984
2025-04-20 0.023096 0.037751 0.056924 0.082868 0.116088 0.156281 0.207639
2025-04-27 0.021552 0.036380 0.056145 0.083280 0.118430 0.161355 0.216631
2025-05-04 0.020520 0.035659 0.056185 0.084724 0.122072 0.168050 0.227656
2025-05-11 0.020161 0.035880 0.057484 0.087832 0.127869 0.177472 0.242117
2025-05-18 0.017853 0.033090 0.054523 0.085149 0.126095 0.177356 0.244734
2025-05-25 0.016333 0.031377 0.052970 0.084279 0.126614 0.180080 0.250858
2025-06-01 0.015042 0.029929 0.051715 0.083749 0.127528 0.183270 0.257553
2025-06-08 0.014757 0.030046 0.052708 0.086332 0.132598 0.191814 0.271056
2025-06-15 0.014158 0.029616 0.052872 0.087736 0.136083 0.198329 0.282022
2025-06-22 0.013491 0.029032 0.052772 0.088743 0.139023 0.204145 0.292123
2025-06-29 0.012543 0.027912 0.051816 0.088486 0.140213 0.207667 0.299291
2025-07-06 0.012203 0.027808 0.052390 0.090425 0.144414 0.215151 0.311589